Ekhaya: Iitoni ezingama-45 ezigidi zomgca obomvu zifikelele kumda wazo

Akukho ndawo yokwandisa imveliso ngokulula.

Ukusukela ngoMatshi 2026, amandla okuvelisa i-aluminium ye-electrolytic yasekhaya amalunga ne-45.18 yezigidi zeetoni, kunye namandla okusebenza eetoni ezingama-44.6 ezigidi kunye nezinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla eliyi-98.7%, phantse afikelele kumgca obomvu weetoni ezingama-45 ezigidi ochazwe ngokucacileyo yiSebe lezoShishino kunye neTekhnoloji yoLwazi. Indlela ekuphela kwayo ehambelanayo yokongeza amandla amatsha okuvelisa - ukutshintshwa okulinganayo okanye okuncitshisiweyo kwamandla aphelelwe lixesha - imisela ukuba izinga lokukhula kwemveliso yonyaka linokugcinwa kuphela kwi-0.8% ukuya kwi-1%, kwaye ukuguquguquka kobonelelo kuncinci kakhulu.

Kwinqanaba lengingqi, iziseko ze-aluminium zamanzi zaseMzantsi-ntshona eYunnan nakwezinye iindawo ziya kufumana ixesha lombane wexesha elomileyo emva kokungena kwikota yokuqala ka-2026, nto leyo ekhokelela ekunciphiseni kancinci kancinci imveliso ngeetoni ezingama-500000 ukuya kuma-800000. Njengoko incopho yombane wasehlotyeni isondela, umngcipheko wokwahlulwa kwamandla unokuphinda uvele, nto leyo ebeka uxinzelelo oluphantsi kwimveliso yasekuhlaleni.

Ngaphesheya: Iitoni ezi-2 zezigidi zokuncipha okungapheliyo

Xa kuthelekiswa nokunikezelwa kwempahla ngaphakathi, ukuncipha kokunikezelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kuzinzile ngakumbi.

Ukusukela ngoMatshi 2026, amandla okusebenza e-aluminium ye-electrolytic yangaphandle amalunga ne-29.38 yezigidi zeetoni, kodwa isikali sokunciphisa imveliso esiqokelelweyo sifikelele kwi-1.804 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye isikali sokunciphisa imveliso ngoMatshi kuphela sifikelele kwi-2.66 yezigidi zeetoni. Indawo ephambili yokunciphisa imveliso igxile kuMbindi Mpuma, ibandakanya malunga ne-80% yesikali sokunciphisa imveliso phesheya. Ukongeza, ngenxa yokwaphuka kwesivumelwano sombane, iMozhar yaseMozambiqueisityalo se-aluminiumivaliwe ngokungenammiselo (iitoni ezingama-580000), amandla emveliso e-Iceland angama-210000 eetoni avalwe ngokusisigxina, kwaye izityalo ze-aluminium zaseYurophu naseMelika ziqhubekile nokunciphisa imveliso ngenxa yokhuphiswano lombane kwishishini le-AI - indibaniselwano yezinto ezininzi, kwaye unikezelo lwangaphandle lungene kumjikelo wokuncitshiswa ongenakulungiseka.

I-Indonesia, eyayikade ilindelwe kakhulu yimarike, kulindeleke ukuba yonyuse amandla ayo emveliso ngeetoni ezimalunga ne-900000 kuphela ngo-2026, nto leyo enganelanga ukugcwalisa umsantsa okhankanywe apha ngasentla.

[Imfuneko: Cima injini endala uze uqalise injini entsha]

Umlinganiselo we-aluminium yokwakha yendabuko wehlile ukusuka kwi-35% ngo-2020 ukuya kwi-22%, kwaye i-aluminium yezindlu ayiseyiyo intsika yokukhula kwemfuno.

Ilandela amandla amatsha. Ishishini lomoya opholileyo liyaqhubeka nokukhuthaza ukusetyenziswa kwe-aluminium endaweni yobhedu, nto leyo enokunciphisa ubunzima ngaphezu kwama-30% kwaye ixabise ngama-20% kwi-air conditioner nganye. Kulindeleke ukuba i-aluminium endaweni yobhedu inegalelo malunga neetoni ezili-160000 zemveliso eyongezelelekileyo kwicandelo lomoya opholileyo ngo-2026. Imfuno yebhetri entsha yesithuthi samandla, ifreyimu ye-aluminium ye-photovoltaic, izixhobo zokugcina amandla kunye nezinye iindawo ibonisa ukukhula okukhulu.

Ingqiqo yomlinganiselo wobonelelo oluqinileyo kunye nolwakhiwo lophuculo lwemfuno - utshintsho oluphezulu lweziko lexabiso le-aluminium aluxhomekekanga kwi-catalysis yeziganeko zexesha elifutshane, kodwa kuvavanyo olutsha olucwangcisiweyo lweziseko zoshishino.