I-Citigroup ikhuphe uphawu oluqinileyo lokunyuka kwingxelo yayo yamva nje yophando lwezinto ezithengiswayo, isithi imakethi ye-aluminium yehlabathi ijongene nokunyuka kwayo okukhulu kwiminyaka engaphezu kwama-50 ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemveliso ngequbuliso, kwaye inyuse kakhulu uqikelelo lwayo lwamaxabiso.

Umhlalutyi wale bhanki ubonise ukuba uxinzelelo lwezopolitiko kuMbindi Mpuma lubangele impembelelo "engazange ibonwe ngaphambili" kwikhonkco lokubonelela nge-aluminium kwihlabathi liphela, nto leyo ebeka ngaphezulu kwe-3 yezigidi zeetoni zamandla okuvelisa ngonyaka emngciphekweni. Ngokuchasene nemfuno ebuthathaka yemarike, uluhlu lwezinto ezikhoyo kwihlabathi liphela sele lukwinqanaba lalo eliphantsi kwiminyaka engama-55, kwaye amandla okungasebenzi kweshishini aphantse aphela, olu luhlu lokuphazamiseka kokubonelela luye lwatyhala imarike ngokukhawuleza kwimeko "yokunqongophala kwesakhiwo".

Ingxelo iqikelela ukuba nangona kucingelwa ukuncitshiswa kwemfuno ngenxa yokuhla koqoqosho, kuya kubakho umsantsa wokubonelela malunga neetoni ezi-2.7 zezigidi kwimarike ye-aluminium yehlabathi ngo-2026. Oku kuya kunciphisa kakhulu uluhlu lwezinto ezikhoyo kwiinyanga ezi-6 ukuya kwezili-12 ezizayo, nto leyo eya kwenza ukuba lube phantsi kwimbali. Ngokusekelwe koku, iCitigroup ilindele ukuba amaxabiso e-aluminium anyuke ngokuthe chu aye kwi-$4000 ngetoni kwiinyanga ezintathu ezizayo, kwaye ilindele ukuba ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lihlale kweli nqanaba kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2026. Kwimeko enethemba ngakumbi, amaxabiso e-aluminium anokunyuka aye kwi-$5350 ngetoni ngo-2027.

I-Citigroup ilumkisa ukuba le ngxaki yokubonelela ngeenkonzo inokuba "nempembelelo embi kakhulu" kumashishini axhomekeke kakhulu kwi-aluminium, njengokwakha, ukupakisha, ukuthuthwa, kunye namandla avuselelekayo, nto leyo enyusa iindleko zeemveliso ezininzi zokugqibela.

Ingxelo yeCitigroup ngokungathandabuzekiyo ikhuphe “ibhombu” emarikeni, iimbono zayo ezingaqhelekanga kunye nezibikezelo zayo ezinesibindi zinqabile kwiminyaka yakutshanje.

Eyona nto iphambili kule ngxelo kukubeka uloyiko lwexesha elifutshane, olunzima lwezopolitiko phezu kwesakhiwo semarike sexesha elide esinempahla ephantsi kunye nokuguquguquka okuncinci kwamandla, ngaloo ndlela kufumaneke isigqibo sokunyuka kwamaxabiso "okumangalisayo". Le ngqiqo inecala layo eliqinileyo, kodwa ikwabangela uvavanyo olunzulu lwemarike lweengcinga zayo kunye nezakhiwo zayo.

I-Citigroup ibandakanye ngokuthe ngqo umngcipheko wobonelelo lweetoni ezi-3 zezigidi kwimodeli yokunqongophala. Nangona kunjalo, imeko yezopolitiko ihlala itshintsha, kwaye kukho ukungaqiniseki okukhulu malunga nokuba amandla emveliso aya kuvalwa okwethutyana okanye alahleke ngonaphakade. Kwimbali, "ibali elisecaleni lobonelelo" lweempahla lidla ngokuguquka ngokukhawuleza ngenxa yokulula kwemeko okanye ukuvela kwezinye izinto ezibonelelwayo. Imarike ifuna ubungqina obucacileyo bokubonisa ukuba la mandla emveliso aya kuphuma kwimarike kwixesha elide.

Ingxelo iyavuma ukuba kukho imfuno ebuthathaka, kodwa isagxininisa ekugwetyweni komsantsa omkhulu. Ukuba amaxabiso e-aluminium anyuka aye kuthi ga kwi-$4000 okanye kwi-$5000 njengoko bekuxelwe kwangaphambili, ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kuba nefuthe elinamandla 'lokuphazamisa' kwimfuno ephantsi. Ixabiso eliphezulu liya kunyanzela amashishini asezantsi ukuba afune ezinye izinto, anciphise ii-odolo, kwaye anciphise nemveliso. Le ndlela yokuphendula engalunganga ngamandla asisiseko okuthintela ukunyuka okungapheliyo kwamaxabiso. Imeko yeCitigroup enethemba 'isenokungawuthatheli ngqalelo isantya apho amaxabiso aphezulu anokutshabalalisa imfuno.

I-aluminium sisinyithi esibalulekileyo ekuguqulweni kwamandla alula kunye naluhlaza, kwaye amathemba ayo emfuno yexesha elide ayeqaqambile ekuqaleni. Kodwa le ngxelo ityhila inyani enzima yexesha elifutshane: xa kujongwe ukothuka okukhulu kobonelelo, ibali lexesha elide lotshintsho oluluhlaza lisenokunika indlela yokunyuka kweendleko zokusinda kwexesha elifutshane. Kubatyali-mali ababheja 'kukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuluhlaza', olu luphawu oluntsonkothileyo: izinto ngokwazo ziye zabiza kakhulu, kodwa amashishini aluhlaza angaphantsi komhlaba anokubandezeleka ngenxa yoko.

Ngamafutshane, ingxelo yeCitigroup ingaphezulu kwengxelo yomngcipheko ogqithisileyo kunokuba ibe yingxelo eqinisekileyo, ejolise ekulumkiseni imakethi ukuba iingozi ezinokubakho zokunyuka ziye zanda kakhulu. Ngokungathandabuzekiyo iya kuyitshintsha indlela ekulindeleke ngayo ixabiso lemakethi, ikhuthaze ukuthenga okuqikelelweyo, kwaye inyanzele bonke abathathi-nxaxheba kwishishini ukuba baphinde bahlole uluhlu lwabo lwezinto kunye namaqhinga okukhusela. Nokuba izibikezelo zayo zinokuzaliseka ngokupheleleyo na, iphumelele ekuvakaliseni isilumkiso esikhulu kwihlabathi liphela.imakethi ye-aluminium: imakethi eqhelene nokuguquguquka okuncinci kufuneka ilungele ukuba kunokwenzeka isivuthuvuthu esinzima.